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Friday
November 21 2008


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SIDELINE ARCHIVE
Unnecessary Hits To The Pocket / Upset: BYU
October 17, 2008

Romo's Pause / Seattle Seahawks
October 15, 2008

Weekend Prep: Red River and More
October 10, 2008

College Football's 'Crossroads' Weekend
October 9, 2008

Gramatical Error
October 7, 2008

Turning The Page
September 30, 2008

So Cal 'Quizzed — But Who Will Answer?
September 26, 2008

3rd Tuesday Panic Button / Forté Yard Dash
September 23, 2008

Two and Oh; Oh and Two
September 22, 2008

No More NCAAffeine
September 11, 2008

Week 1 College Football
September 6, 2008

How To Spell Heisman / Chad Ocho Cinco
September 1, 2008

Why the Favre story STILL won't go away
August 18, 2008

Olympic Notes / Ricky's Still Relevant
August 14, 2008

Committee Meetings
August 9, 2008

Let the QB Battles Begin
August 8, 2008

Slinging The Slinger — More Favre
August 6, 2008

Welcome to the 2008 season
July 28, 2008

Plus One
May 27, 2008

Draft: The Morning After
April 28, 2008

Draft: Thinking the Unthinkable
April 25, 2008

Draft: Ready For The Long Haul
April 23, 2008

Sofa–bound Sport
April 16, 2008

Post–Winter Wonderland
April 11, 2008

Six Impossible Things
February 4, 2008

Brady's Misdirection Play
February 3, 2008

Colorful Language
January 23, 2008

Let the Romo–bashing begin: Dallas lost
January 14, 2008

Bowl Bites: The Wrap
January 10, 2008

All About The Coaches
January 1, 2008

Bowl Bites 3 and A Communication Breakdown
December 29, 2007

Bowl Bites 2
December 27, 2007

Bowl Bites 1
December 23, 2007

The Empty Chair - Coach Situations Vacant
December 22, 2007

For Some, The Playoffs Are Now
December 15, 2007

A Certain Lack Of Welcome
December 13, 2007

Unrelated Notes
November 29, 2007

Two Thanksgiving thoughts
November 22, 2007

Halftime: NFC
November 9, 2007

Halftime: AFC
November 8, 2007

London, Part 2 / A Tale of Two Chads / A Game of Intimidation
November 4, 2007

Damp Squib / Other London Notes
October 29, 2007

Rock 'Em, Sock 'Em / Dolphins – The Aftermath
October 23, 2007

The Dolphins Did What?
October 18, 2007

Notes on the Defenses
October 13, 2007

Habits to be Broken
October 12, 2007

Overtime
October 13, 2007

This Week's Starters
October 6, 2007:

USF: Covering The Spread / Fantastic Football
September 27, 2007:

Grossman: The Final Act? / McNabb, the Epilogue
September 24, 2007:

Eagles QB in Slight Controversy
September 21, 2007:

Leftwich's Parting Gift to Jacksonville? / Boos cruise
September 18, 2007:

Notre Dame M.I.A.
September 16, 2007:

Looking Beyond NFL Wk. 1
September 12, 2007:

Best Hope For Heisman
September 10, 2007:

Coaching Hot Seats / AP Poll Feeling ’Appy
September 7, 2007:

The NFL’s Prime Cuts
September 5, 2007:

Michigan Falls to Killer Apps
September 3, 2007:

Look Out Couch / The Taint's On You, Bud
September 1, 2007:

SPORTS

SIDELINE
Observations, Opinion & Occasional Silliness by Richard L Gale

Brady's Misdirection Play
February 3, 2008

I have a friend (well, more than one actually) of the type that never met a conspiracy theory he didn't like. Everything is an 'inside job' and the CIA are behind everything. 'Chuck' — not his real name, obviously — is the kind of guy who, if his local supermarket so much as runs low on bottled water, starts to worry that something is afoot and those in the know are hoarding for some cataclysm. At which point he starts hoarding bottled water, of course. (I believe the stock market works on a similar principle).

It's a contagious condition. All it takes is a little suspicion, some cynicism, and the capacity to over–react to inconclusive evidence, and suddenly the signs are everywhere. Problem is, sometimes it's hard to work out what is the conspiracy and what is the smokescreen.

This past week had me down that route with the New England Patriots. We've all seen Tom Brady, triggerman for the seemingly unbeatable Pats wearing a protective boot on his foot while arriving at the door of supermodel girlfriend Gisele Bündchen. Fortunately a photographer was there to catch sight of the boot, which Brady later shed.

The obvious story — at least at first — was that the Patriots were hiding a previously–unknown injury to their star quarterback. Of course, it didn't take long for the more suspicious amongst us to wonder if it wasn't just sand–bagging by the Patriots, eager to suggest that there was some doubt about their reliance on the pass in the forthcoming super bowl. Especially when the boot later vanished. Or does that mean he's still trying to hide the injury?

Of course, conspiracy theory fans have to go a lot deeper than that. For example, this is a star QB visiting his girlfriend the week before the big game; this is what Tony Romo was slated for doing, wasn't it? So, the boot is just Brady's way of diverting attention from an ill–timed romantic liaison that might put him in the way of similar criticism.

Nah, that's far too simple. Brady's boot would, of course, be the perfect distraction to draw attention away from star receiver Randy Moss, who has spent January dealing with an accusation that has resulted in a temporary restraining order against him. Moss has been restrained to one catch in each of the last two Patriots' games. If it weren't for Brady's right ankle, Moss would probably be the number one story. As it is, that lucky snap has stolen all the attention. If it WAS lucky, of course — I mean, what's the chance of a photographer being outside the home of a supermodel who's going out with a super bowl QB? I guess Tom couldn't have known he'd be spotted, right?

And now we have the official NFL injury lists, we can see... NO ankle injury reported for Tom Brady. Just the shoulder injury that troubled him to a record–setting 50 TDs during the regular season. And if there's no ankle injury reported, that means there IS a problem with his ankle, right? At least I think so... erm... sorry, I forgot which end of the conspiracy I'm working here.

Anyway, it's all very suspicious.

As for Chuck's thoughts on the matter, he simply notes that the Patriots dynasty was nothing until the war on terror began. Of all the teams, the "PATRIOTS", you see.

I guess we have the CIA to blame.


TAKING STOCK

Back on Planet Sensible, everybody's making their predictions for the battle of the G–Men and Patriots. Needless to say, the only people picking the Giants are the die–hards and those who want to shout out how smart they are if it actually happens.

The Mystery of Brady's Boot knocked the betting line from 14 points to 11 points, before it bounced back a point, and to me that's still a wide margin for what is, after all, one game for all the marbles. On any given Sunday, remember. For those looking for signs of an upset, here's a bunch:

1. The Giants have just beaten three division winners in a row. They might be the hottest team in football.
2. Overachieving 10–6 team? They didn't lose to anybody who wasn't a playoff contender. And they're 13–6 now.
3. Better QB right now? Eli Manning has thrown for 8 TDs, 1 Int in his last four games. Brady has had a more difficult spell with 10 scores to 5 picks.
4. Hottest star receivers? During this postseason, Burress and Toomer have averaged 132 yards a game combined, Moss and Welker 71 yards a game combined.
5. Pass rush. The Giants have the best pass rush in the NFL, and the Patriots have a pocket passer who isn't much of a scrambler, and who maaaaay have a gimpy foot.
6. The Patriots have everything to lose. Seems like a lot of people already have them as an unbeaten team alongside the '72 Dolphins, as winners of their 4th super bowl. The fear of not accomplishing that must be tremendous, and the much tighter second half of the season compared to their first half may reflect some tightness in the minds of the players underneath their apparent coolness.

So, I'm picking the Giants, right? No, I'm following the flock and taking the Patriots in a close one, maybe by as little as 6 points with a heart–stopping final few seconds. But if the odds are still one–sided enough down at the betting shop this Saturday morning — the way they were in 2002 when I took the Patriots to beat the Rams at 4–1 odds — I might have a 'flutter'. Yes, folks, sports betting is completely legal here as long as you're over 18.

Of course, over in the US, people can still openly chance their assets outside of Nevada, as long as it's on the stock market. In case anybody doesn't know, there's this little stock market quirk called the SBI — the Super Bowl Indicator — which suggests a link between the winner of the Super Bowl to the direction of the markets. Specifically, when the AFC representative wins, the market goes down, and when the NFC team wins, the market goes up. In 32 of the past 41 years, that's been the case.

Judging by the number of Giants' shirt–wearing fans whooping it up on the floor of Friday's stock market, I doubt this year is going to buck the trend if the Giants crash to the Patriots as expected. On the other hand, a feel–good factor in NYC could spill over on Monday morning. It could be something of a self–fulfilling prophecy. The economy NEEDS the Patriots to lose.

Either way, I'll never hear the last of it: Chuck is a New Yorker.





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